Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.731183 2.916622 3.114396 3.342067 3.598244 3.879160 4.212680
2026-01-18 2.483856 2.743604 3.036865 3.396476 3.831270 4.347755 5.020086
2026-01-25 2.528637 2.874108 3.283862 3.815908 4.504784 5.391941 6.667982
2026-02-01 2.303997 2.655666 3.083109 3.654652 4.422148 5.456046 7.033344
2026-02-08 2.113383 2.460591 2.890178 3.477188 4.287498 5.417968 7.226676
2026-02-15 2.007538 2.362300 2.809608 3.435341 4.325793 5.618326 7.805303
2026-02-22 1.902420 2.257167 2.711125 3.358125 4.301848 5.717655 8.231705
2026-03-01 1.795516 2.143319 2.593296 3.243651 4.210246 5.697986 8.443859
2026-03-08 1.689141 2.024950 2.462774 3.101878 4.064640 5.574414 8.442521
2026-03-15 1.641101 1.981375 2.430785 3.097899 4.126304 5.792329 9.125126
2026-03-22 1.593036 1.935242 2.392328 3.080961 4.164725 5.973538 9.773849
2026-03-29 1.546816 1.889418 2.351662 3.057434 4.189374 6.131829 10.410555
2026-04-05 1.504209 1.851667 2.327221 3.067405 4.287808 6.471021 11.648514
2026-04-12 1.475230 1.832006 2.328348 3.118266 4.463921 6.996487 13.604055
2026-04-19 1.533097 1.936602 2.516232 3.480901 5.239846 8.940932 21.155864
2026-04-26 1.456431 1.844293 2.404057 3.341862 5.069623 8.770238 21.497422
2026-05-03 1.381289 1.751541 2.287285 3.188191 4.857684 8.469808 21.194109
2026-05-10 1.339986 1.706608 2.241532 3.151855 4.870972 8.715998 23.413645
2026-05-17 1.294098 1.653207 2.180233 3.084708 4.815979 8.782920 24.924984
2026-05-24 1.243268 1.590880 2.102636 2.984917 4.686157 8.636597 25.295373
2026-05-31 1.189377 1.522575 2.013514 2.860918 4.498070 8.313134 24.556152
2026-06-07 1.166168 1.499133 1.993691 2.857431 4.558392 8.664952 27.986497
2026-06-14 1.141707 1.472972 1.968422 2.842584 4.593241 8.956300 31.554552